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Cover Story
abnormal weather conditions that could change rapidly in
and epidemiological models to the KIM in June, it will
the future. To solve this problem, we need to build an AI
have to make continuous updates. According to the
system that can predict the future. For example, a research
Korea Meteorological Administration, the KIM will be
team led by Professor Ham Yoo-geun of the Department
supplemented by various tests and upgrades in the future
of Oceanography at Chonnam National University has
andwillreachthecurrentUMlevelwithintwoyears.¡°The
developed a technology that can predict El Nino up to 18
KIM has been going through four seasons in Korea for a
months in advance by using AI. El Nino is an abnormal
year and is in the process of collecting Korean-tailored
climate phenomenon in the eastern and central parts of
data.Weareupdatingittoimproveperformance.¡±aKMA
the Pacific Ocean that causes heat waves and floods, with
officialsaid.
seawater temperatures rising more than 0.5 degrees above
an average year. The AI, developed by Professor Ham¡¯s
Developinghumanresourcesandtechnologythat
research team, helps prepare for various weather disasters
canutilizeweatherequipment
causedbyElNinobydiagnosinginadvancetheoccurrence
Thenation¡¯sartificialsatelliteChollian1endeditsweather
and strength of El Nino. In addition to El Nino, we need
observation mission as of April this year. It is necessary
to introduce AI technology that can predict future climate
to develop satellites for weather observation to replace
changessothatwecanaccuratelypredictabnormalweather
it. However, it is more urgent to establish a system that
conditionstoprepareforrelateddamage.
can make good use of current equipment than to develop
weather equipment that requires a long-term investment.
First of all, the KMA announced in December that it
UpdateofKoreanNumericalForecastingModels
would introduce a professional civil service system to give
¨ÏKMA
News
preferential treatment to professional forecasters, thereby
¨ÏYonhap
eliminating circular placement problems and increasing
theaccuracyofforecasts.Asaresult,about10professional
government officials who are exclusively in charge of
forecastingworkarecurrentlyworkingasforecasters.
In addition, the agency is developing an AI weather
forecast assistant called ¡°Alpha-weather¡± to assist
¡ãIllustrationofKIM(Korea
¡ãPictureofAlphaweatherArtificial
IntegratedModel)
Intelligence
forecasters. The KMA plans to complete the development
KIMwhichhasbeentest-runsinceAprilthisyear,hasno
of¡°Alpha-weather¡±bynextyear,andtocreateanadvanced
significantdifferenceinperformancecomparedtoUMand
version, which can provide region-specific weather
overseas numerical models. But this is only when it was
forecastsby2024.Ultimately,theKMA¡¯sgoalistodevelop
first introduced. Data needs to be updated periodically to
an ¡®Alpha-weather¡¯ that can provide customized weather
improvetheperformanceofnumericalforecastmodels.
information for each individual citizen by 2027. The
The KMA will also set up a separate research team to
completionofsuch¡°Alpha-weather¡±technologyisexpected
deal with the KIM, including experts from the business
to improve the working conditions of forecasters and
group that developed the KIM, to upgrade it in the
increasetheaccuracyofforecasts.
future. Just as the KMA updated its physical processes
Because the KMA is losing the trust of the public, Park E-hyung, a spokesman of the KMA, said,
¨ÏKMA
¡°The KMA¡¯s main goal is to prevent casualties caused by weather disasters. Therefore, the KMA makes
a forecast as soon as it finds any possibility of human casualties. We hope you observe the weather agency¡¯s warnings
carefully. We can bear the criticism that your clothes are wet from the rain because of KMA errors. However, the KMA
cannotguileandfeelsahugeresponsibilityiftheagency¡¯sincorrectforecastcauseshumancasualties.¡±
AstheKMAsaid,weatherforecastsaredirectlyrelatedtothesafetyofthepeople.Therefore,theKMAshouldworkhard
to pinpoint and resolve the problems and causes that cause forecast errors, and we hope that the Korean people will listen
carefullytothevoiceoftheKoreanMeteorologicalAdministration.TheArgushopesthatinthenearfuture,Koreanswill
seetheirownweatherservicewithalovingeye.
yeajinchoi@hufs.ac.kr
22
www.theargus.org

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